Run T-0190 passed

2026-10-19 · Evidence: SPRT Sequential probability ratio test. Games are played until the accumulated evidence reaches one of two bounds; then the test stops.

Hypothesis

If killer 1, killer 2, and countermoves receive no fixed rank bonus in quiet move ordering when their history score is below -3000, and if the LMR reduction discount for killers and countermoves is removed when their history score is below -3000 (including tactical killers and countermoves), the engine will play stronger on the clock.

Wording edited for publication from the German entry; the register carries the author’s own text.

Stages

Point estimate with the reported 95-percent half-width, per stage. The dashed line is zero. Estimates from a stopped sequential test are biased by the stopping rule; the interval is nominal.

Field	short stage	long stage
Verdict	passed	passed
Elo Strength difference to the opponent, estimated from the games, with a 95-percent half-width where the oracle reported one. Never an absolute rating.	+4.69 ± 3.33	+2.76 ± 2.21
nElo Normalised Elo: the Elo difference divided by the spread of the game results, so that the SPRT bounds mean the same at different time controls.	+9.44 ± 6.71	+5.67 ± 4.55
Games	10,300	22,430
Wins / draws / losses	2,419 / 5,601 / 2,280	5,092 / 12,424 / 4,914
pentanomial Games are played in pairs with swapped colours; the five counts are the pairs scoring 0, ½, 1, 1½ and 2 points.	`16 / 1133 / 2718 / 1262 / 21`	`11 / 2516 / 5983 / 2694 / 11`
LLR Log-likelihood ratio, the running evidence of an SPRT. It starts at 0; a stage passes at the upper bound and fails at the lower one.	+2.96	+2.95
Bounds	−2.94 … +2.94	−2.94 … +2.94
SPRT Sequential probability ratio test. Games are played until the accumulated evidence reaches one of two bounds; then the test stops.	[0.0, 5.0]	[0.0, 5.0]
Error rates α / β	0.05 / 0.05	0.05 / 0.05
Model	normalized	normalized
time control Base time plus increment per move in seconds, e.g. 8+0.08: eight seconds per game plus 0.08 seconds per move.	8+0.08	40+0.4
Book	A	B
Opponent	vs predecessor	vs predecessor
Duration	1 h 18 min	14 h 40 min

Provenance

Date: 2026-10-19
Started: 2026-10-18 21:59:06 UTC
Duration: 15 h 59 min
Author: Agent D
Epoch: 10
Gatekeeper: passed
Bench nodes: 696

Playing strength: AFE

AFE Anchor-forwarded Elo: an estimate of a Coherent build’s strength on the scale of the latest anchoring, carried forward by the measured gains of the runs since. An estimate, not a measurement. Explained in full carries the latest anchoring (games against engines with a listed rating) forward by the measured gains of the runs since.

Measured: long stage against the predecessor +2.76 ± 2.21 Elo (SPRT-stopped: the test ended as soon as it reached its bound).

AFE 3727 [3696; 3759] nominal 90 % model interval

An estimate, not a measurement · contains unmeasured steps. Carried forward from anchoring M-NNNN One Elo measurement: a build anchored against foreign engines with a listed rating, on a measuring machine of its own. Numbered in the order delivered; the register run it measured is named with it. The series continues the entries E-0001 to E-0012 and starts at M-0013. (Coherent 0.2.10, T-0174); frozen on 2026-10-22. How AFE is calculated · Playing strength