Run T-0234 rejected

· Evidence: SPRT Sequential probability ratio test. Games are played until the accumulated evidence reaches one of two bounds or the game limit fixed in advance; then the test stops.

Hypothesis

Captures are ordered within their safe sorting band by their full SEE Static exchange evaluation: an estimate of the material outcome of a capture sequence on one square, without searching. value rather than solely by win or loss category.

Wording edited for publication from the German entry; the register carries the author’s own text.

Stages

Elo against the predecessorElo intervals: short stage −4.53 ± 4.33.−8−6−4−20short stage−4.53 ± 4.33short stage · rejected−4.53 ± 4.33 Elo · 6,140 games
Point estimate with the reported 95-percent half-width, per stage. The dashed line is zero. Estimates from a stopped sequential test are biased by the stopping rule; the interval is nominal.
Field short stage
Verdictrejected
Elo Strength difference to the opponent, estimated from the games, with a 95-percent half-width where the oracle reported one. Never an absolute rating.−4.53 ± 4.33
nElo Normalised Elo: relates the mean score excess of a colour-swapped pair to the spread of the pair results.−9.09 ± 8.69
Games6,140
Wins / draws / losses1,339 / 3,382 / 1,419
pentanomial Games are played in pairs with swapped colours; the five counts are the pairs scoring 0, ½, 1, 1½ and 2 points.8 / 772 / 1589 / 694 / 7
LLR Log-likelihood ratio, the running evidence of an SPRT. It starts at 0; a stage passes at the upper bound and fails at the lower one.−2.94
Bounds−2.94 … +2.94
SPRT Sequential probability ratio test. Games are played until the accumulated evidence reaches one of two bounds or the game limit fixed in advance; then the test stops.[0.0, 5.0]
Error rates α / β0.05 / 0.05
Modelnormalized
time control Base time plus increment per move in seconds, e.g. 8+0.08: eight seconds per game plus 0.08 seconds per move.8+0.08
BookA
Opponentvs predecessor
Duration46 min

Provenance

Date
2026-11-06
Started
2026-11-06 04:28:45 UTC
Duration
46 min
Author
Agent X
Epoch
13
Gatekeeper
passed
Bench nodes
666