Run T-0217 rejected

· Evidence: SPRT Sequential probability ratio test. Games are played until the accumulated evidence reaches one of two bounds; then the test stops.

Hypothesis

In ProbCut, the priority of a tactical transposition table move over other captures is removed if its entry does not prove a lower bound of at least beta plus ProbCutMargin, sorting it by its standard capture rank instead. If this priority is retained only when the lower-bound bit is set and the score is at least this threshold, playing strength is expected to increase.

Wording edited for publication from the German entry; the register carries the author’s own text.

Stages

Elo against the predecessorElo intervals: short stage −0.32 ± 2.23.−20+2short stage−0.32 ± 2.23short stage · rejected−0.32 ± 2.23 Elo · 22,554 games
Point estimate with the reported 95-percent half-width, per stage. The dashed line is zero. Estimates from a stopped sequential test are biased by the stopping rule; the interval is nominal.
Field short stage
Verdictrejected
Elo Strength difference to the opponent, estimated from the games, with a 95-percent half-width where the oracle reported one. Never an absolute rating.−0.32 ± 2.23
nElo Normalised Elo: the Elo difference divided by the spread of the game results, so that the SPRT bounds mean the same at different time controls.−0.66 ± 4.53
Games22,554
Wins / draws / losses5,190 / 12,153 / 5,211
pentanomial Games are played in pairs with swapped colours; the five counts are the pairs scoring 0, ½, 1, 1½ and 2 points.33 / 2616 / 5996 / 2603 / 29
LLR Log-likelihood ratio, the running evidence of an SPRT. It starts at 0; a stage passes at the upper bound and fails at the lower one.−2.95
Bounds−2.94 … +2.94
SPRT Sequential probability ratio test. Games are played until the accumulated evidence reaches one of two bounds; then the test stops.[0.0, 5.0]
Error rates α / β0.05 / 0.05
Modelnormalized
time control Base time plus increment per move in seconds, e.g. 8+0.08: eight seconds per game plus 0.08 seconds per move.8+0.08
BookA
Opponentvs predecessor
Duration2 h 49 min

Provenance

Date
2026-10-26
Started
2026-10-26 16:53:00 UTC
Duration
2 h 49 min
Author
Agent D
Epoch
11
Gatekeeper
passed
Bench nodes
603