Coherent 0.1.107: 3282 ± 55 over five anchors
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Project measurement, not in the register: an anchoring against foreign engines with a listed rating. The figures come from the data delivery (entry E-NNNN One Elo measurement: a build anchored against foreign engines with a listed rating, on a measuring machine of its own. Numbered in the order delivered; the register run it measured is named with it. E-0001 to E-0012; from the thirteenth entry on the prefix is M, the count running on.); the build measured is the one from run T-0120 of 23 September 2026. The reservations below are those delivered by the day of publication; the full and current account is on the playing-strength page.
Coherent 0.1.107 played 1,800 games against five foreign engines with a published rating, Mess 0.3.0, Dumb 2.1, Renegade 0.12.0, Koivisto 3.0 and Velvet 3.1.0, 360 against each at 120+1. The result is 3282 ± 55 (anchored to CCRL Computer Chess Rating Lists, a public ranking of chess engines from games under standard conditions. blitz ratings), ± 19 of it statistical. From 24 September 2026 that is the figure at the head of this site; it replaces the anchoring of 0.1.105 at 3129 ± 54.
The runs
Project measurement, not in the register. Five horizontal intervals, one per opponent, on a scale of anchored playing strength: Mess 0.3.0 at 3300 with a half-width of 65, Dumb 2.1 at 3241 with a half-width of 48, Renegade 0.12.0 at 3287 with a half-width of 45, Koivisto 3.0 at 3273 with a half-width of 36, Velvet 3.1.0 at 3305 with a half-width of 31. Below them the published figure for 0.1.107, 3282 with a band of 55, shaded behind every row. The plus-minus values are half-widths of nominal 95 % intervals; the published band also carries the transfer term.
| Opponent | Listed | Games | Score rate | Difference | From it |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mess 0.3.0 | 2773 ± 12 | 360 | 95.42 % | +527.38 ± 63.93 | 3300 ± 65 |
| Dumb 2.1 | 2828 ± 13 | 360 | 91.53 % | +413.42 ± 46.58 | 3241 ± 48 |
| Renegade 0.12.0 | 2935 ± 15 | 360 | 88.33 % | +351.67 ± 42.75 | 3287 ± 45 |
| Koivisto 3.0 | 3020 ± 16 | 360 | 81.11 % | +253.15 ± 32.26 | 3273 ± 36 |
| Velvet 3.1.0 | 3153 ± 16 | 360 | 70.56 % | +151.81 ± 26.77 | 3305 ± 31 |
All half-widths at the 95 % level, as the delivery states them; the column From it is the anchor plus the measured difference. The listed ratings are from the CCRL Blitz Rating List as of 2026-09-12.
How the figure is formed
Recalculated from the anchors: the five anchored values, averaged with weights inverse to their variance, give 3284.0 with a statistical half-width of ± 18.4; the delivery rounds it to ± 19. With the measuring side's transfer term the band is ± 54.2; the delivery names 3282 ± 55, and this site publishes the delivery's figure. The anchored values are compatible with one another (chi-square 5.39 at 4 degrees of freedom, bound 9.49; half-widths read as 95 % half-widths).
Against 0.1.105 five anchors were played in both campaigns, Mess 0.3.0, Dumb 2.1, Renegade 0.12.0, Koivisto 3.0 and Velvet 3.1.0. Per anchor the difference of the two measured differences is +148.35 ± 77.18, +126.79 ± 59.84, +156.94 ± 52.27, +132.74 ± 43.29 and +190.57 ± 36.86; combined, +158 ± 22. The per-anchor values are compatible with one another (chi-square 5.41 at 4 degrees of freedom, bound 9.49). That is the measured change: the opponent's listed rating and the transfer term cancel in it. The 153 points between the two headline figures are not a measured gain; they carry both bands in full.
Project measurement, not in the register. Five horizontal intervals, one per anchor played in both campaigns, on a scale of Elo difference against 0.1.105: Mess 0.3.0 at +148 with a half-width of 77, Dumb 2.1 at +127 with a half-width of 60, Renegade 0.12.0 at +157 with a half-width of 52, Koivisto 3.0 at +133 with a half-width of 43, Velvet 3.1.0 at +191 with a half-width of 37. Below them the combined value, +158 ± 22. A dashed vertical line marks zero, no change.
What belongs to this figure
- Measured outside the formal registration procedure. Every result line of this measurement path is recorded twice, independently, with its checksum.
- The calibration of the total band is not confirmed from the complete raw data.
- The evidence for the scale showing that this book maps one-to-one onto the list at 2+1 comes from a round robin with only three openings per pairing across ten colour-swapped rounds. The clustering is not accounted for in the calculation provided (intraclass correlation approximately 0.30, factor 1.93), so the evidence is approximately half as strong as reported. This is a reservation against the model assumption, not against the error calculation: the project's own anchor runs used a distinct opening for each colour pair (180 out of 180 per anchor), and the statistical half-width of 18.4 remains unaffected.
- Anchor reservation: 5 of 5 anchors (Mess 0.3.0, Dumb 2.1, Renegade 0.12.0, Koivisto 3.0, Velvet 3.1.0) are more than 100 Elo Strength difference to the opponent, estimated from the games, with a 95-percent half-width where the oracle reported one. Never an absolute rating. below the version measured.
- Statistical half-width plus transfer uncertainty. A round robin among the five anchors showed that a single published rating differs under external conditions; averaged across five anchors, ± 51 remains of this at the 95-percent level, which together with the ± 18.4 from games and list errors gives ± 55.
The anchor binaries are documented in the delivery as the authors' own builds: Mess 0.3.0 (Apache-2.0), Dumb 2.1 (MIT) and Renegade 0.12.0 (MIT). Without a provenance record in the delivery: Koivisto 3.0 and Velvet 3.1.0.
Conditions
120+1, book 8moves_v3 with 34,700 positions, each colour pair with an opening of its own, 64 MB hash, one thread, 30 concurrent games, no adjudication, a fixed number of games without SPRT Sequential probability ratio test. Games are played until the accumulated evidence reaches one of two bounds; then the test stops.; 0 losses on time. The measurement is dated 24 September 2026, 03:20 UTC.
Generated from the data delivery. The recalculation is the site's; every other figure is the measuring side's.